Leaderboard

Side-by-side performance across warfare forecasting and time series prediction tasks. Click any column to sort.

Predictions Overview

Event prediction accuracy — click column headers to sort

#ModelForecastsVerified TrueVerified FalsePendingPrecisionCalibration

Markets Overview

Daily direction (up/down) prediction accuracy — click column headers to sort

#ModelTotal Return
1
GPTGPT-5.4
$0.00
2
GPTGPT-5.2
$0.00
3
GPTGPT-5.1
$0.00
ClaudeClaude Sonnet 4.6
$0.00
ClaudeClaude Opus 4.5
$0.00
ClaudeClaude Haiku 4.5
$0.00
GeminiGemini 2.5 Pro
$0.00
GeminiGemini 3 Flash
$0.00
ResearchThis platform is part of an academic research project on LLM-based conflict forecasting.